Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.8% vs 40.1%). Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Jost 40.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 55.1%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 50.5%
Neutral zone
Jost 54.9%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Cogliano
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cogliano
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Cogliano
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
41.0% (2,014)
+0.7%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
34.2% (73)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
35.3% (255)
+3.5%
On power play, Cogliano has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Jost
Home
43.4% (1,069)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Cogliano
Jost
P1
41.2%
38.5%
P2
37.7%
41.2%
P3
43.6%
40.9%
OT
41.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |