Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Cirelli 49.1% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 59.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 61.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 57.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Copp
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Copp
Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
2
Copp
Cirelli
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
0
1
Copp
Cirelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
50.4% (613)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
69.9% (83)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
36.5% (208)
+9.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Copp
Cirelli
Home
54.4% (408)
54.2% (395)
Away
53.4% (410)
45.0% (509)
By Period
Copp
Cirelli
P1
53.3%
50.8%
P2
54.1%
50.0%
P3
54.9%
46.6%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |