Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Rodrigues 47.3% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 71.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 64.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 64.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Copp
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Copp
Rodrigues
Last 7: Copp 2-5 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
2
Copp
Rodrigues
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Copp
Rodrigues
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
2
Copp
Rodrigues
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
47.9% (637)
+6.4%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
47.9% (71)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
37.3% (67)
+8.3%
On power play, Copp has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Copp is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Copp shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Copp
Rodrigues
Home
54.4% (408)
48.3% (429)
Away
53.4% (410)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Copp
Rodrigues
P1
53.3%
48.3%
P2
54.1%
46.9%
P3
54.9%
45.6%
OT
20.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
60.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |