Scouting Report
Andrew Desjardins holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Desjardins on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Desjardins wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desjardins 52.4% vs Smith 45.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desjardins 68.6%
Defensive zone
Desjardins 92.3%
Neutral zone
Desjardins 82.6%
Result
Andrew Desjardins favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Desjardins
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Desjardins
Smith
Last 8: Desjardins 6-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desjardins
1
0
Desjardins
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Desjardins
2
0
Desjardins
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desjardins
3
2
Desjardins
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desjardins
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (345)
44.9% (332)
+8.1%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
38.9% (54)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.0% (6)
+4.5%
On power play, Desjardins has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Desjardins is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Desjardins shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Desjardins
Smith
Home
56.1% (173)
46.1% (167)
Away
50.3% (189)
42.5% (226)
By Period
Desjardins
Smith
P1
60.4%
42.1%
P2
44.4%
43.4%
P3
54.4%
47.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desjardins
54.0%▬
54.5%
53.0%
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Andrew Desjardins |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Andrew Desjardins |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Andrew Desjardins |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Andrew Desjardins |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Andrew Desjardins |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Andrew Desjardins |