Scouting Report
Austin Watson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Watson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Ebbett wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Watson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Watson 46.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ebbett 53.8%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 52.2%
Neutral zone
Watson 51.7%
Result
Austin Watson favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Ebbett
Watson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ebbett
Watson
Last 6: Ebbett 3-3 Watson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
1
0
Ebbett
Watson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Watson
2
3
Ebbett
Watson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Watson
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
46.2% (182)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
38.3% (47)
+5.2%
On power play, Ebbett has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Watson shoots right. Ebbett is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Ebbett shoots left. Watson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Watson
Home
45.9% (314)
44.2% (113)
Away
40.8% (331)
44.3% (122)
By Period
Ebbett
Watson
P1
48.7%
40.5%
P2
41.9%
46.2%
P3
39.7%
46.6%
Final 5 min
38.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Austin Watson |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Austin Watson |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Austin Watson |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |