Scouting Report
Austin Watson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Watson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Ebbett wins 32.3% vs right-shot opponents — Watson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 42.5% vs Watson 47.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Watson 66.1%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 72.4%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 50.4%
Result
Austin Watson favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Ebbett
Watson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ebbett
Watson
Last 6: Ebbett 3-3 Watson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
1
0
Ebbett
Watson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Watson
2
3
Ebbett
Watson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Watson
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (227)
42.9% (42)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Watson has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Watson shoots right. Ebbett is 32.3% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Ebbett shoots left. Watson is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Watson
Home
37.2% (121)
47.2% (36)
Away
41.8% (146)
25.0% (8)
By Period
Ebbett
Watson
P1
45.5%
46.2%
P2
40.2%
35.7%
P3
35.1%
47.1%
Final 5 min
33.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
39.7%
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Austin Watson |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Austin Watson |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Austin Watson |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |