Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Fraser shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Fraser 46.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Fraser leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ebbett 55.9%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 52.2%
Neutral zone
Fraser 50.4%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Ebbett
Fraser
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Ebbett
Fraser
Last 10: Ebbett 4-6 Fraser
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
3
Ebbett
Fraser
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
3
Ebbett
Fraser
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ebbett
2
1
Ebbett
Fraser
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Fraser
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
48.0% (1,036)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
58.3% (36)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
35.8% (187)
+7.7%
On power play, Fraser has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fraser shoots left. Ebbett is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Ebbett shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Fraser
Home
45.9% (314)
48.6% (661)
Away
40.8% (331)
44.0% (602)
By Period
Ebbett
Fraser
P1
48.7%
46.7%
P2
41.9%
46.4%
P3
39.7%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.0%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |