Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ebbett on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Couture 48.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 71.5%
Defensive zone
Couture 74.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 75.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Ebbett
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ebbett
Couture
Last 5: Ebbett 4-1 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ebbett
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
3
0
Ebbett
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
48.8% (8,919)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
54.6% (624)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
39.8% (992)
+3.7%
On even strength, Couture has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Ebbett is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Ebbett shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Couture
Home
45.9% (314)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
40.8% (331)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Ebbett
Couture
P1
48.7%
47.9%
P2
41.9%
47.9%
P3
39.7%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |