Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ebbett on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 46.8% vs Couture 53.0% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 87.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 69.8%
Neutral zone
Couture 79.6%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Ebbett
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ebbett
Couture
Last 5: Ebbett 4-1 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ebbett
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
3
0
Ebbett
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (211)
53.5% (709)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
42.4% (33)
-7.1%
On even strength, Couture has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Ebbett is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Ebbett shoots left. Couture is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Couture
Home
49.2% (128)
55.3% (454)
Away
40.6% (101)
51.4% (434)
By Period
Ebbett
Couture
P1
49.3%
52.4%
P2
44.0%
57.3%
P3
42.5%
50.3%
OT
66.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
37.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |