Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ebbett on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Bonino 50.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 65.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 86.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 80.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Ebbett
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Ebbett
Bonino
Last 7: Ebbett 5-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Ebbett
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
2
0
Ebbett
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ebbett
3
1
Ebbett
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
50.6% (8,315)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
54.1% (972)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
44.6% (1,693)
-1.1%
On even strength, Bonino has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Ebbett is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Ebbett shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Bonino
Home
45.9% (314)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
40.8% (331)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Ebbett
Bonino
P1
48.7%
50.6%
P2
41.9%
48.5%
P3
39.7%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
38.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |