Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ebbett on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ebbett wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 42.5% vs Bonino 47.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 85.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 55.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 72.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Ebbett
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Ebbett
Bonino
Last 7: Ebbett 5-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Ebbett
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
2
0
Ebbett
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ebbett
3
1
Ebbett
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (227)
48.4% (246)
-10.1%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
37.5% (32)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (28)
41.2% (17)
+5.2%
On power play, Ebbett has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Ebbett is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Ebbett shoots left. Bonino is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Bonino
Home
37.2% (121)
53.3% (122)
Away
41.8% (146)
42.2% (173)
By Period
Ebbett
Bonino
P1
45.5%
48.4%
P2
40.2%
44.3%
P3
35.1%
47.2%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
33.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
39.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |