Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ebbett on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Jokinen 46.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 79.5%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 54.9%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 65.0%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Ebbett
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Ebbett
Jokinen
Last 6: Ebbett 5-1 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
1
0
Ebbett
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
3
1
Ebbett
Jokinen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ebbett
1
0
Ebbett
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
45.8% (3,924)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
50.8% (585)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
42.9% (247)
+0.6%
On even strength, Jokinen has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Ebbett is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Ebbett shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Jokinen
Home
45.9% (314)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
40.8% (331)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Ebbett
Jokinen
P1
48.7%
45.6%
P2
41.9%
47.5%
P3
39.7%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
56.1%
Final 5 min
38.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |