Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ebbett wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Johansen 53.3% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 50.1%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 65.7%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 59.2%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Ebbett
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ebbett
Johansen
Last 6: Ebbett 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Ebbett
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
1
0
Ebbett
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Ebbett
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
53.1% (11,017)
-10.3%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
56.2% (2,163)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
50.5% (978)
-7.0%
On even strength, Johansen has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Ebbett is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Ebbett shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Johansen
Home
45.9% (314)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
40.8% (331)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Ebbett
Johansen
P1
48.7%
53.2%
P2
41.9%
53.9%
P3
39.7%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
38.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 12, 2013 | OT | 01:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |