Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ebbett wins 32.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 42.5% vs Johansen 51.2% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.4%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 75.7%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 59.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Ebbett
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ebbett
Johansen
Last 6: Ebbett 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Ebbett
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
1
0
Ebbett
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Ebbett
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (227)
51.2% (447)
-12.9%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
53.4% (73)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (28)
44.4% (9)
+2.0%
On even strength, Johansen has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Ebbett is 32.3% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Ebbett shoots left. Johansen is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Johansen
Home
37.2% (121)
54.9% (255)
Away
41.8% (146)
48.2% (274)
By Period
Ebbett
Johansen
P1
45.5%
51.7%
P2
40.2%
49.4%
P3
35.1%
51.8%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
33.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
39.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 12, 2013 | OT | 01:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |