Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ebbett on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Ebbett leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 64.6%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 62.8%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 68.2%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Ebbett
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Ebbett
Horcoff
Last 10: Ebbett 6-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ebbett
Horcoff
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Ebbett
Horcoff
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ebbett
5
4
Ebbett
Horcoff
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
50.6% (3,133)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
51.4% (555)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
43.0% (567)
+0.5%
On even strength, Horcoff has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Ebbett is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Ebbett shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Horcoff
Home
45.9% (314)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
40.8% (331)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Ebbett
Horcoff
P1
48.7%
48.2%
P2
41.9%
49.5%
P3
39.7%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
38.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |