Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ebbett wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 42.5% vs Horcoff 49.2% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Ebbett 62.1%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 67.0%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 64.9%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Ebbett
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Ebbett
Horcoff
Last 10: Ebbett 4-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Ebbett
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
3
2
Ebbett
Horcoff
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
3
Ebbett
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (227)
46.9% (318)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
64.9% (94)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (28)
39.8% (88)
+6.6%
On power play, Horcoff has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Ebbett is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Ebbett shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Horcoff
Home
37.2% (121)
46.7% (289)
Away
41.8% (146)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Ebbett
Horcoff
P1
45.5%
49.4%
P2
40.2%
47.0%
P3
35.1%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
33.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
39.7%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |