Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ladd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ladd wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ladd 51.6% vs Beagle 55.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ladd 64.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 80.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 53.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Ladd
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ladd
Beagle
Last 5: Ladd 3-2 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ladd
3
0
Ladd
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Ladd
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ladd
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (44)
60.7% (173)
-8.4%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
44.1% (34)
+22.6%
On power play, Ladd has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Ladd is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Ladd shoots left. Beagle is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Ladd
Beagle
Home
60.6% (33)
58.3% (115)
Away
46.2% (26)
57.0% (100)
By Period
Ladd
Beagle
P1
40.0%
57.1%
P2
57.9%
55.6%
P3
58.3%
62.1%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ladd
46.0%▲
44.0%
54.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Andrew Ladd |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Andrew Ladd |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Andrew Ladd |