Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Murray wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Fraser shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Murray 47.4% vs Fraser 46.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Murray 55.8%
Defensive zone
Fraser 67.1%
Neutral zone
Fraser 51.5%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Murray
Fraser
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Murray
Fraser
Last 8: Murray 4-4 Fraser
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Murray
Fraser
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Murray
Fraser
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Murray
Fraser
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Murray
Fraser
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (50)
48.0% (1,036)
+0.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.3% (36)
-58.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
35.8% (187)
-35.8%
On power play, Fraser has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fraser shoots left. Murray is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Murray shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Murray
Fraser
Home
34.6% (26)
48.6% (661)
Away
50.0% (30)
44.0% (602)
By Period
Murray
Fraser
P1
36.0%
46.7%
P2
44.4%
46.4%
P3
53.8%
46.2%
Final 5 min
80.0%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Murray
46.0%▲
42.9%
42.9%
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Andrew Murray |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Andrew Murray |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Andrew Murray |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Andrew Murray |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |