Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Shaw wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Vermette shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Vermette 56.7% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 60.2%
Defensive zone
Vermette 81.2%
Neutral zone
Vermette 75.0%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Shaw
Vermette
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Shaw
Vermette
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 Vermette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
2
Shaw
Vermette
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Vermette
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Shaw
Vermette
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Vermette
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
55.0% (624)
-10.6%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
68.4% (133)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
58.5% (82)
-38.5%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vermette shoots left. Shaw is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Shaw shoots right. Vermette is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Shaw
Vermette
Home
45.5% (224)
58.8% (420)
Away
42.5% (233)
56.1% (419)
By Period
Shaw
Vermette
P1
39.1%
59.9%
P2
41.7%
56.4%
P3
50.3%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
43.2%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 06:40 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |