Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Vermette shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Vermette 56.0% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 67.6%
Defensive zone
Vermette 94.9%
Neutral zone
Vermette 88.0%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Shaw
Vermette
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Shaw
Vermette
Last 7: Shaw 5-2 Vermette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
0
Shaw
Vermette
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Vermette
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
2
Shaw
Vermette
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Vermette
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
56.7% (1,246)
-12.8%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
55.9% (261)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
55.4% (276)
-9.9%
On power play, Vermette has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vermette shoots left. Shaw is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Shaw shoots right. Vermette is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Shaw
Vermette
Home
46.3% (363)
56.8% (842)
Away
39.9% (321)
56.0% (941)
By Period
Shaw
Vermette
P1
47.4%
58.0%
P2
43.0%
57.9%
P3
40.0%
53.5%
OT
46.2%
58.7%
Final 5 min
39.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |