Scouting Report
Anton Lander holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lander on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Shaw wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lander shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.3% vs Lander 54.0% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 67.4%
Defensive zone
Shaw 52.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 61.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Shaw
Lander
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Shaw
Lander
Last 9: Shaw 3-6 Lander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lander
1
4
Shaw
Lander
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
0
1
Shaw
Lander
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Lander
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Lander
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (291)
54.8% (507)
-8.8%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
63.5% (52)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
50.0% (134)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lander shoots left. Shaw is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Lander is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Shaw
Lander
Home
49.4% (160)
55.6% (315)
Away
43.5% (154)
53.7% (378)
By Period
Shaw
Lander
P1
46.2%
51.8%
P2
45.9%
55.3%
P3
47.3%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.5%
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 18, 2015 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Nov 18, 2015 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 18, 2015 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Nov 18, 2015 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Nov 18, 2015 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Nov 8, 2015 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Anton Lander |