Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Horvat 53.5% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 70.4%
Defensive zone
Shaw 64.3%
Neutral zone
Shaw 72.4%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Shaw
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Shaw
Horvat
Last 6: Shaw 1-5 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
2
Shaw
Horvat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
3
Shaw
Horvat
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
54.0% (1,606)
-8.2%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
52.9% (308)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
50.0% (104)
-7.9%
On even strength, Horvat has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Shaw is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Shaw shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Shaw
Horvat
Home
50.0% (152)
57.2% (987)
Away
45.3% (232)
50.2% (1,031)
By Period
Shaw
Horvat
P1
44.8%
53.9%
P2
46.0%
53.7%
P3
50.4%
53.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |