Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Sutter 50.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 91.2%
Defensive zone
Sutter 55.6%
Neutral zone
Shaw 72.0%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Shaw
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Shaw
Sutter
Last 10: Shaw 3-7 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Sutter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
0
1
Shaw
Sutter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
5
Shaw
Sutter
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.9% (7,610)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
52.8% (627)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
46.4% (1,797)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Home / Away
Shaw
Sutter
Home
50.3% (1,812)
50.6% (5,050)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
49.8% (5,033)
By Period
Shaw
Sutter
P1
48.5%
48.7%
P2
47.9%
50.3%
P3
48.2%
51.5%
OT
41.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |