Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.3% vs Little 51.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 59.7%
Defensive zone
Shaw 59.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 61.5%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Shaw
Little
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Shaw
Little
Last 5: Shaw 1-4 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
2
Shaw
Little
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
2
Shaw
Little
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Little
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Little
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (291)
50.6% (895)
-4.6%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
61.6% (216)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
43.3% (203)
+31.7%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Shaw is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Shaw shoots right. Little is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Shaw
Little
Home
49.4% (160)
51.6% (628)
Away
43.5% (154)
51.0% (686)
By Period
Shaw
Little
P1
46.2%
52.0%
P2
45.9%
49.3%
P3
47.3%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
45.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.5%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Bryan Little |