Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 47.1%). Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Soderberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.3% vs Soderberg 47.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 50.7%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 55.8%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 53.0%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Shaw
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Shaw
Soderberg
Last 8: Shaw 5-3 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
0
Shaw
Soderberg
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Soderberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
0
3
Shaw
Soderberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (291)
47.0% (559)
-1.0%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
63.6% (77)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
32.5% (83)
+42.5%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Shaw is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Soderberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Shaw
Soderberg
Home
49.4% (160)
46.1% (369)
Away
43.5% (154)
48.3% (350)
By Period
Shaw
Soderberg
P1
46.2%
49.2%
P2
45.9%
47.7%
P3
47.3%
44.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.5%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 01:30 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |