Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.8%). Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Paquette 48.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 79.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 79.2%
Neutral zone
Shaw 54.2%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Shaw
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Shaw
Paquette
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
2
Shaw
Paquette
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Shaw
Paquette
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
2
Shaw
Paquette
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
49.7% (2,579)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
55.8% (43)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
42.5% (426)
-0.4%
On power play, Paquette has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Home / Away
Shaw
Paquette
Home
50.3% (1,812)
50.2% (1,541)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
47.4% (1,507)
By Period
Shaw
Paquette
P1
48.5%
49.1%
P2
47.9%
49.9%
P3
48.2%
47.5%
OT
41.9%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:53 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |