Scouting Report
Chris Mueller holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Mueller shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Mueller 49.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 53.5%
Defensive zone
Mueller 88.5%
Neutral zone
Mueller 82.8%
Result
Chris Mueller favored at 73.6%
26.4%
73.6%
Shaw
Mueller
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Shaw
Mueller
Last 10: Shaw 8-2 Mueller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
0
Shaw
Mueller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Mueller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Mueller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Mueller
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
49.7% (171)
-5.3%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
100.0% (1)
-59.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
46.2% (13)
-26.2%
On power play, Mueller has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mueller shoots right. Shaw is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Shaw shoots right. Mueller is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Shaw
Mueller
Home
45.5% (224)
50.4% (129)
Away
42.5% (233)
48.2% (56)
By Period
Shaw
Mueller
P1
39.1%
47.7%
P2
41.7%
50.8%
P3
50.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
43.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Mueller
56.0%▲
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Chris Mueller |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Chris Mueller |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |