Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Fraser 46.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Fraser leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 71.2%
Defensive zone
Fraser 68.1%
Neutral zone
Fraser 50.6%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Shaw
Fraser
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Shaw
Fraser
Last 10: Shaw 5-5 Fraser
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Shaw
Fraser
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
0
1
Shaw
Fraser
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Fraser
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Fraser
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
48.0% (1,036)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
58.3% (36)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
35.8% (187)
+6.3%
On power play, Fraser has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fraser shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Fraser is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Shaw
Fraser
Home
50.3% (1,812)
48.6% (661)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
44.0% (602)
By Period
Shaw
Fraser
P1
48.5%
46.7%
P2
47.9%
46.4%
P3
48.2%
46.2%
OT
41.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |