Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Shaw wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Fraser shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Fraser 47.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 57.5%
Defensive zone
Shaw 54.8%
Neutral zone
Fraser 55.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Shaw
Fraser
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Shaw
Fraser
Last 5: Shaw 2-3 Fraser
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Fraser
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
0
1
Shaw
Fraser
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Fraser
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Fraser
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
45.6% (160)
-1.2%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
75.0% (4)
-34.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
50.0% (4)
-30.0%
On power play, Fraser has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fraser shoots left. Shaw is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Shaw shoots right. Fraser is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Shaw
Fraser
Home
45.5% (224)
49.5% (95)
Away
42.5% (233)
42.5% (73)
By Period
Shaw
Fraser
P1
39.1%
42.6%
P2
41.7%
48.1%
P3
50.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
43.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |