Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Shaw wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Fraser shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Fraser 50.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 53.5%
Defensive zone
Fraser 68.7%
Neutral zone
Fraser 59.7%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Shaw
Fraser
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Shaw
Fraser
Last 5: Shaw 3-2 Fraser
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Shaw
Fraser
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Fraser
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Fraser
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
49.4% (162)
-5.5%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
83.3% (6)
-50.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
40.0% (5)
+5.5%
On power play, Fraser has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fraser shoots left. Shaw is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Shaw shoots right. Fraser is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Shaw
Fraser
Home
46.3% (363)
50.0% (84)
Away
39.9% (321)
50.6% (89)
By Period
Shaw
Fraser
P1
47.4%
53.9%
P2
43.0%
51.6%
P3
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |