Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 47.5%). Look for Emmerton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Emmerton 47.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Emmerton leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 57.3%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 61.3%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 51.3%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Shaw
Emmerton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Shaw
Emmerton
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Emmerton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
5
Shaw
Emmerton
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
0
4
Shaw
Emmerton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
2
Shaw
Emmerton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Emmerton
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
47.1% (764)
+0.8%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
45.5% (11)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
52.5% (59)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Emmerton shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Emmerton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Shaw
Emmerton
Home
50.3% (1,812)
47.2% (453)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
47.8% (381)
By Period
Shaw
Emmerton
P1
48.5%
45.4%
P2
47.9%
48.5%
P3
48.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |