Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Smith 41.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 84.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 54.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 65.0%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Shaw
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Shaw
Smith
Last 9: Shaw 3-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Shaw
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Shaw
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
40.8% (1,023)
+7.1%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
39.4% (198)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
44.4% (9)
-2.3%
On power play, Shaw has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Smith is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Shaw
Smith
Home
50.3% (1,812)
42.3% (556)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
39.1% (675)
By Period
Shaw
Smith
P1
48.5%
39.0%
P2
47.9%
42.1%
P3
48.2%
40.2%
OT
41.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Craig Smith |