Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Shaw wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Smith 43.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 65.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 61.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 65.0%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Shaw
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Shaw
Smith
Last 5: Shaw 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Shaw
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Shaw
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
37.4% (163)
+7.0%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
48.6% (37)
-7.7%
On power play, Smith has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Shaw is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Shaw shoots right. Smith is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Shaw
Smith
Home
45.5% (224)
47.1% (68)
Away
42.5% (233)
35.6% (132)
By Period
Shaw
Smith
P1
39.1%
32.8%
P2
41.7%
42.0%
P3
50.3%
43.8%
Final 5 min
43.2%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Craig Smith |