Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Backes 50.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 83.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 50.5%
Neutral zone
Shaw 66.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Shaw
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Shaw
Backes
Last 10: Shaw 5-5 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
4
Shaw
Backes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
4
Shaw
Backes
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
5
Shaw
Backes
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
51.1% (5,772)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
50.8% (1,082)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
47.4% (930)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Home / Away
Shaw
Backes
Home
50.3% (1,812)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Shaw
Backes
P1
48.5%
50.1%
P2
47.9%
51.5%
P3
48.2%
50.8%
OT
41.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 2 | 08:01 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | David Backes |