Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Grant 52.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 89.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 65.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 67.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Shaw
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Shaw
Grant
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Grant
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
5
Shaw
Grant
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
3
Shaw
Grant
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
53.7% (2,864)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
61.7% (175)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
46.0% (922)
-3.9%
On power play, Grant has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
Shaw
Grant
Home
50.3% (1,812)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Shaw
Grant
P1
48.5%
51.1%
P2
47.9%
51.5%
P3
48.2%
54.3%
OT
41.9%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2019 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Derek Grant |