Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Grant 51.6% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 73.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 61.4%
Neutral zone
Shaw 55.3%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Shaw
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Shaw
Grant
Last 7: Shaw 3-4 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Grant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Shaw
Grant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
2
Shaw
Grant
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
56.7% (104)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
43.5% (46)
+2.0%
On even strength, Grant has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Shaw is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Shaw shoots right. Grant is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Shaw
Grant
Home
46.3% (363)
51.2% (86)
Away
39.9% (321)
54.7% (64)
By Period
Shaw
Grant
P1
47.4%
53.3%
P2
43.0%
51.8%
P3
40.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
39.8%
73.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Derek Grant |