Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Brassard 49.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 55.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 57.2%
Neutral zone
Shaw 53.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Shaw
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Shaw
Brassard
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
5
Shaw
Brassard
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
5
6
Shaw
Brassard
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Brassard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
48.7% (8,464)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
52.3% (1,260)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
50.3% (179)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Home / Away
Shaw
Brassard
Home
50.3% (1,812)
50.6% (5,020)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
47.6% (4,901)
By Period
Shaw
Brassard
P1
48.5%
49.0%
P2
47.9%
49.8%
P3
48.2%
48.4%
OT
41.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2014 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 8, 2014 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |