Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Staal 50.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 63.6%
Defensive zone
Shaw 56.7%
Neutral zone
Shaw 61.4%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Shaw
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Shaw
Staal
Last 10: Shaw 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Shaw
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Shaw
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.5% (10,347)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
53.5% (2,023)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
44.2% (781)
-2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Home / Away
Shaw
Staal
Home
50.3% (1,812)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Shaw
Staal
P1
48.5%
50.0%
P2
47.9%
51.1%
P3
48.2%
50.4%
OT
41.9%
55.2%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Eric Staal |