Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.3% vs Haula 52.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 81.2%
Defensive zone
Shaw 74.3%
Neutral zone
Shaw 77.4%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Shaw
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Shaw
Haula
Last 9: Shaw 1-8 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
3
Shaw
Haula
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
4
Shaw
Haula
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Shaw
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (291)
53.9% (705)
-7.9%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
14.3% (7)
+33.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
50.7% (69)
+24.3%
On power play, Shaw has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Shaw is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Haula is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Shaw
Haula
Home
49.4% (160)
49.4% (397)
Away
43.5% (154)
57.3% (384)
By Period
Shaw
Haula
P1
46.2%
51.5%
P2
45.9%
52.7%
P3
47.3%
56.3%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.5%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Erik Haula |