Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.5%). Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Nielsen 48.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 20-10 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 66.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 71.7%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 56.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Shaw
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
10
(30 meetings)
20
10
Shaw
Nielsen
Last 10: Shaw 7-3 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
8
0
Shaw
Nielsen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
7
Shaw
Nielsen
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
7
3
Shaw
Nielsen
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
49.3% (7,608)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
54.7% (594)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
41.7% (1,420)
+0.4%
On power play, Nielsen has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Home / Away
Shaw
Nielsen
Home
50.3% (1,812)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Shaw
Nielsen
P1
48.5%
49.7%
P2
47.9%
47.6%
P3
48.2%
48.2%
OT
41.9%
46.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | OT | 00:32 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |