Scouting Report
Jarome Iginla holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Shaw wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Iginla shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Iginla 49.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 62.9%
Defensive zone
Shaw 64.3%
Neutral zone
Shaw 62.9%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Shaw
Iginla
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Shaw
Iginla
Last 7: Shaw 2-5 Iginla
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
0
1
Shaw
Iginla
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
0
2
Shaw
Iginla
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Shaw
Iginla
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Iginla
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
50.8% (183)
-6.4%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
48.2% (56)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
37.5% (8)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Iginla has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Iginla shoots right. Shaw is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Shaw shoots right. Iginla is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Shaw
Iginla
Home
45.5% (224)
51.9% (133)
Away
42.5% (233)
47.4% (114)
By Period
Shaw
Iginla
P1
39.1%
48.2%
P2
41.7%
49.3%
P3
50.3%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |