Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Larsson 49.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 82.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 85.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 53.9%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Shaw
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Shaw
Larsson
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
5
0
Shaw
Larsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
3
Shaw
Larsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
5
3
Shaw
Larsson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.5% (4,382)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
47.7% (153)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
43.8% (714)
-1.7%
On power play, Shaw has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Home / Away
Shaw
Larsson
Home
50.3% (1,812)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Shaw
Larsson
P1
48.5%
51.6%
P2
47.9%
49.7%
P3
48.2%
47.2%
OT
41.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 06:08 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |