Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Toews 57.9% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 87.6%
Defensive zone
Shaw 94.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 90.9%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Shaw
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
15
(19 meetings)
4
15
Shaw
Toews
Last 10: Shaw 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
3
Shaw
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
9
Shaw
Toews
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Shaw
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
57.2% (13,047)
-9.3%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
63.3% (3,252)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
53.6% (1,810)
-11.5%
On power play, Toews has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Shaw
Toews
Home
50.3% (1,812)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Shaw
Toews
P1
48.5%
58.6%
P2
47.9%
57.8%
P3
48.2%
57.3%
OT
41.9%
58.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |