Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.9%). Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Shaw wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.7% vs Toews 54.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 70.3%
Defensive zone
Shaw 51.2%
Neutral zone
Shaw 58.0%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Shaw
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Shaw
Toews
Last 10: Shaw 1-9 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
5
Shaw
Toews
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Shaw
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (336)
54.8% (1,153)
+1.5%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
58.8% (233)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
50.0% (166)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Shaw is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Shaw shoots right. Toews is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Shaw
Toews
Home
58.1% (234)
58.7% (784)
Away
50.5% (204)
51.0% (768)
By Period
Shaw
Toews
P1
53.8%
54.0%
P2
58.3%
57.4%
P3
52.0%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
64.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |