Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Shaw wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.3% vs Toews 57.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 72.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 69.5%
Neutral zone
Shaw 54.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Shaw
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Shaw
Toews
Last 5: Shaw 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Shaw
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (217)
58.4% (1,115)
-6.8%
Power Play
61.9% (105)
61.3% (256)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
50.5% (182)
-50.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Shaw is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Shaw
Toews
Home
55.2% (163)
59.5% (783)
Away
53.4% (163)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Shaw
Toews
P1
56.7%
58.4%
P2
50.9%
59.4%
P3
55.6%
55.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |