Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Staal 55.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 19-5 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 92.5%
Defensive zone
Shaw 78.6%
Neutral zone
Shaw 84.7%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Shaw
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
19
(24 meetings)
5
19
Shaw
Staal
Last 10: Shaw 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
8
Shaw
Staal
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
10
Shaw
Staal
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Shaw
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
55.9% (14,620)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
62.7% (1,745)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
48.0% (2,896)
-5.9%
On power play, Staal has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Shaw
Staal
Home
50.3% (1,812)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Shaw
Staal
P1
48.5%
55.2%
P2
47.9%
55.9%
P3
48.2%
54.9%
OT
41.9%
56.2%
Final 5 min
46.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |