Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 51.3% vs Staal 57.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 52.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Shaw
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Shaw
Staal
Last 5: Shaw 2-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Shaw
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (40)
57.2% (780)
-7.2%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
71.3% (171)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
45.5% (132)
+54.5%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Shaw is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Shaw shoots right. Staal is 61.5% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Shaw
Staal
Home
56.5% (23)
57.6% (566)
Away
51.5% (33)
58.4% (517)
By Period
Shaw
Staal
P1
53.6%
55.6%
P2
52.9%
58.5%
P3
55.6%
60.6%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |