Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Lehtera 50.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 51.7%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 57.2%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 51.6%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Shaw
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Shaw
Lehtera
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Lehtera
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
2
Shaw
Lehtera
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
5
Shaw
Lehtera
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.4% (2,714)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
55.8% (339)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
41.3% (104)
+0.8%
On power play, Lehtera has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Shaw
Lehtera
Home
50.3% (1,812)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Shaw
Lehtera
P1
48.5%
53.2%
P2
47.9%
50.6%
P3
48.2%
48.1%
OT
41.9%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 14:12 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |