Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.7% vs Hayes 46.1% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 92.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 54.9%
Neutral zone
Shaw 74.7%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Shaw
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Shaw
Hayes
Last 6: Shaw 4-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Shaw
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (336)
45.4% (788)
+10.9%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
50.0% (56)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
45.2% (124)
-28.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Shaw is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Shaw shoots right. Hayes is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Shaw
Hayes
Home
58.1% (234)
46.6% (459)
Away
50.5% (204)
44.8% (509)
By Period
Shaw
Hayes
P1
53.8%
43.0%
P2
58.3%
49.5%
P3
52.0%
44.7%
OT
33.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |