Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Chipchura 50.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 62.3%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 78.7%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 59.9%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Shaw
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Shaw
Chipchura
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
6
1
Shaw
Chipchura
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
4
Shaw
Chipchura
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
1
Shaw
Chipchura
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.9% (2,100)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
45.7% (46)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
45.0% (171)
-2.9%
On power play, Shaw has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Chipchura is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Shaw
Chipchura
Home
50.3% (1,812)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Shaw
Chipchura
P1
48.5%
51.1%
P2
47.9%
50.3%
P3
48.2%
48.9%
OT
41.9%
78.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |